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Nix ranked 81st out of 90 for adjusted completion percentage when under pressure. Auburn should hope its offensive line can continue blocking better in the running game, or that Tank Bigsby continues to be one of the toughest players in the country to tackle. Perhaps Nix can beat the pressure enough to gash LSU downfield, or at least allow Williams and others to make plays after the catch.

If the home Tigers have to rely on the passing game to convert obvious passing situations, this is a bad matchup. Not many noticed because LSU started the season But Myles Brennan played better than all but a handful of quarterbacks before tearing a muscle in his abdomen. LSU averages 6. Freshman backup quarterback TJ Finley played well against South Carolina, albeit with a conservative game plan.

Finley seems capable of guiding a still-talented LSU offense toward strong production. Also, Brennan practiced on Monday and may be ready to play by the weekend. Betting analysis. With all due respect to Ole Miss, this is probably the best offense that Auburn has faced. Auburn probably will find a way to hit some explosive plays. But LSU also will cause some major disruptions and potentially some critical errors.

That often works out in favor of overs, which are in LSU games this season. The exception came in a win at Vanderbilt with a closing total of Christopher Smith is a professional handicapper who specializes in college football and basketball. The final game of the season features No. Remember, as mentioned above, this is the final college football game of the season.

We won't see teenagers hitting each other in anger again until August. That's seven months away! That means we won't have the chance to bet on angry teenagers taking out their feelings on one another in a football game for seven months, either! No, we have to go way beyond that when there's two behemoths going head-to-head on Monday night. Thankfully, I'm here to help guide us through how to bet the national championship beyond the line.

It's time to go all out because, again We could have flying cars by then. If we were to look at the metrics, most of them would tell us to take Clemson and the points in this spot. The two teams, based on their performances this season, are about equal, depending where you look. Some give LSU an edge; others prefer Clemson. None like one significantly more than the other.

But metrics have their limitations. For one, as I said at the start of this story, this is a de facto home game for LSU. Playing in the Superdome is nothing new for the Bayou Bengals. That pushes the scales a bit further in LSU's direction, but that's not the deciding factor here for me. It sounds stupid, but the real reason I like LSU here is this: If it's not a team of destiny, then what ever could be?

LSU has been the story of the college football season. It's won every award. It's passed every test. It's scored every touchdown. I'm tired of being the person who expects the other shoe to drop. I'm no longer waiting for Godot or is it Godeaux. Clemson is a fantastic team, and it's good enough to beat LSU, while nearly nobody else has been this season.

It has a great quarterback of its own and plenty of weapons elsewhere. But Clemson doesn't have the sense of destiny around it this year. It's been too much of a background character in college football's story of I'm taking LSU because, like a "John Wick" movie, sometimes we need to enjoy the ride and not worry about plot holes.

Pick: LSU Putting destiny aside, let's get to the numbers. This total is too high, and it's this high thanks in large part to what LSU was able to do to Oklahoma in the Peach Bowl semifinal. Clemson's defense is not Oklahoma's, however. It's quite the opposite. Granted, Clemson hasn't had a chance to go up against many offenses like that of LSU, but Ohio State had one of the most prolific offenses in the country this year.

In fact, the Buckeyes scored more points per game during the regular season than LSU did. Clemson's defense held Ohio State's to 23 points. It was the most Clemson had allowed to an opponent all season. Don't get me wrong, Clemson isn't going to stop LSU's offense. There isn't a defense at the college level that could even imagine doing so.

It will slow it down a bit, though. At least, a lot more than Oklahoma had any chance of doing. We've seen LSU's offense struggle at times against top defenses, and Clemson's defense is one of the best in the country. On the other side, LSU's defense is often overlooked because of its offense, but while it's not an elite unit, it's better than most believe.

It also has a secondary full of NFL players like Ohio State, and that will come in handy trying to slow down Clemson's passing attack. Just like Ohio State did. I think 35 points is enough to win this game, which would suggest the under is the smart play.

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Chevron that denotes content that can open up. Chevron that denotes content that can open up. Back To Life & Culture; Movies · Music · Food &. When this line was released Sunday, Auburn actually was a 1- or 2-point favorite. Bets quickly streamed in on LSU, and in betting parlance, the. Auburn is coming off a disappointing loss to bitter rival Alabama. gak.poker-betting-tips.com Logo and Tag Line The Aggies are rolling behind an outstanding defense that led them to a victory over LSU last Saturday. Don't place a wager until to consult our guys at American Betting Experts!!! January 15,